Tuesday, 26 May 2020

{coyotes} Return to Play: Western Conference

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The NHL announced its Return to Play Plan on Tuesday.

The League, which has been paused since March 12 due to concerns surrounding the coronavirus, will restart with the Stanley Cup Playoffs in two hub cities each hosting 12 teams from one conference.

The top four teams in the Eastern or Western Conference will play each other once (three games per team) in a round-robin to decide the top four seeds for the next round. Those games will be played with regular-season overtime and shootout rules, with ties in the final standings broken by regular-season points percentage. The four teams from the Western Conference are the St. Louis Blues, Colorado Avalanche, Vegas Golden Knights and Dallas Stars.

 

The other eight Western teams, seeded by point percentage, will play in four best-of-5 series in the Qualifying Round, with the winners advancing to play against the top four seeds in the First Round. These games will be played with playoff overtime rules.

Here those best-of-5 series matchups and breakdowns:

 

(5) Edmonton Oilers vs. (12) Chicago Blackhawks

Regular-season records

Oilers: 37-25-9, 83 points (.585 point percentage)
Blackhawks: 32-30-8, 72 points (.514)

Head-to-head

Chicago 2-1-0

Oct. 14: Blackhawks 3, Oilers 1, at CHI
Feb. 11: Oilers 5, Blackhawks 3, at EDM
March 5: Blackhawks 4, Oilers 3, at CHI

What's changed

Oilers: Defenseman Mike Green (knee) and forward Joakim Nygard (hand) could return to the lineup. Green, acquired in a trade from the Detroit Red Wings on Feb. 24, missed the last seven games before the season was paused, and Nygard the last 21.

Blackhawks: Chicago could have defenseman Calvin de Haan (shoulder) healthy when play resumes. He was expected to miss 4-5 months after having surgery Dec. 27. The status of forwards Andrew Shaw (concussion) and Zack Smith (hand) is less clear.

Analysis

The Oilers had their issues playing against the Blackhawks in the regular season, but their one win somewhat surprisingly came without center Connor McDavid in the lineup. Edmonton has the advantage, especially on special teams, where it was first in the NHL on the power play (29.5 percent) and second on the penalty kill (84.4 percent). The Oilers also have the top two scorers in the regular season, forward Leon Draisaitl (110 points) and McDavid (97 points).

 

(6) Nashville Predators vs. (11) Arizona Coyotes

Regular-season records

Predators: 35-26-8, 78 points (.565)
Coyotes: 33-29-8, 74 points (.529)

Head-to-head

Season series tied

Oct. 17: Coyotes 5, Predators 2, at ARI
Dec. 23: Predators 3, Coyotes 2, at NSH

What's changed

Predators: They were mostly healthy when the season was paused except for defenseman Dan Hamhuis, who missed the last four games with a lower-body injury.

Coyotes: Forward Conor Garland and defenseman Jakob Chychrun each is likely to return to the lineup from a lower-body injury. Each was week to week when the season was paused. Garland led the Coyotes with 22 goals in the regular season, and Chychrun had 26 points (12 goals, 14 assists) in 63 games.

Analysis

One of the interesting storylines will be Predators coach John Hynes going against Coyotes forward Taylor Hall, who won the Hart Trophy voted as NHL MVP with the New Jersey Devils in 2017-18, when Hynes was Devils coach. Another storyline will be the Predators' goalie situation because there was a changing of the guard before the season was paused, with Juuse Saros starting 14 of their last 18 games. Will Saros continue as the No. 1, or will Hynes go back to veteran Pekka Rinne? The Coyotes were trending in the wrong direction before the season was paused, going 8-13-4 in their last 25 games, but get a chance at a fresh start.

 

(7) Vancouver Canucks vs. (10) Minnesota Wild

Regular-season records

Canucks: 36-27-6, 78 points (.565)
Wild: 35-27-7, 77 points (.558)

Head-to-head

Minnesota 2-1-0

Jan. 12: Canucks 4, Wild 1, at MIN
Feb. 6: Wild 4, Canucks 2, at MIN
Feb. 19: Wild 4, Canucks 3 (SO), at VAN

What's changed

Canucks: Goalie Jacob Markstrom and forward Josh Leivo likely will be healthy. Markstrom (23-16-4, 2.75 goals-against average, .918 save percentage) was out with a knee injury when the season was paused. Leivo was recovering after fracturing his kneecap Dec. 19 against the Golden Knights. The injury was expected to keep him out 2-3 months.

Wild: Defenseman Carson Soucy is the only player who was injured, and he is expected to return. He missed the last nine games before the pause with an upper-body injury.

Analysis

Markstrom's return is the biggest advantage for the Canucks. He's in the final season of a three-year contract and can become an unrestricted free agent. A strong showing in this series could help him in contract negotiations. The Wild were coming together before the season was paused, going 12-5-1 in their last 18 games. Will Minnesota forward Kevin Fiala, who had 26 points (14 goals, 12 assists) in those 18 games, be able to pick up where he left off?

 

(8) Calgary Flames vs. (9) Winnipeg Jets

Regular-season records

Flames: 36-27-7, 79 points (.564)
Jets: 37-28-6, 80 points (.563)

Head-to-head

Winnipeg 1-0-0

Oct. 26: Jets 2, Flames 1 (OT), 2019 Tim Hortons NHL Heritage Classic in Regina, Saskatchewan

What's changed

Flames: Defenseman Travis Hamonic, who missed the last 14 games before the season was paused with an upper-body injury, likely will be ready to return.

Jets: Forward Bryan Little could return. He last played Nov. 5 when he sustained a concussion and punctured eardrum against the Devils when he was hit in the head by teammate Nikolaj Ehlers' shot. Little played seven games this season but had five points (two goals, three assists), including the overtime goal in the Heritage Classic.

Analysis

The Jets have the advantage in net, and that should give them the advantage in the series. Connor Hellebuyck had a Vezina Trophy-caliber season, going 31-21-5 with a 2.57 GAA, a .922 save percentage and six shutouts. It will be interesting to see which goalie the Flames start. Do they go with David Rittich (24-17-6, 2.97 GAA, .907 save percentage) or Cam Talbot (12-10-1, 2.63 GAA, .919 save percentage)? Each started six of Calgary's last 12 games before the pause, but Talbot was thriving (2.42 GAA, .922 save percentage) and Rittich was struggling (3.71 GAA, .885 save percentage). The pause may even things out and elevate Rittich back to No. 1 goalie.

 
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